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Red0
47985.5
393133.4
47990.5
Blue21
284825.3
110819.5
46948.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29440100150200021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.42.6
11.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
25.31.7
18.917.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4798
#34
5.51.4
5.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
19.51.7
13.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4799
#33
0.56.4
0.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
4694
#11
8.40.6
8.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End