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Red40
331010.3
26133.3
129625.6
Blue13
18171.2
48537.3
46948.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411202060801004013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.2
26.026.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
4694
#11
8.40.2
8.17.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3310
#10
10.30.2
8.08.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4853
#32
7.30.2
7.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2613
#38
3.30.2
2.93.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1817
#41
1.20.2
1.41.2
Auto
Teleop
End