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Red68
399911.4
45719.8
333514.2
Blue111
458913.4
142927.2
293628.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4469010015020025030068111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
Unranked
19.81.0
19.120.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
2936
Unranked
28.62.3
30.733.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3335
Unranked
14.21.0
14.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
1429
Unranked
27.22.3
22.825.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3999
Unranked
11.41.0
14.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
4589
Unranked
13.42.3
11.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End