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Red33
399731.4
293628.6
45719.8
Blue61
42955.2
310321.3
432817.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102230501502003361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3997
Unranked
31.42.8
36.533.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
3103
Unranked
21.31.3
20.121.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2936
Unranked
28.62.8
33.030.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
4328
Unranked
17.81.3
14.916.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
457
Unranked
19.82.8
20.117.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
4295
Unranked
5.21.3
0.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End