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Red128
5730.2
293628.6
62467.3
Blue132
458736.3
246859.3
432817.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128105050150200250128132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
Unranked
67.30.2
65.465.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
2468
Unranked
59.31.2
59.060.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
57
Unranked
30.20.2
29.229.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
4587
Unranked
36.31.2
33.534.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2936
Unranked
28.60.2
30.230.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
4328
Unranked
17.81.2
16.117.3
Auto
Teleop
End