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Red91
458736.3
399731.4
310321.3
Blue61
458913.4
333514.2
384738.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98660501502009161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
Unranked
36.30.1
30.830.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
3847
Unranked
38.40.5
41.841.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3997
Unranked
31.40.1
42.642.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
3335
Unranked
14.20.5
13.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3103
Unranked
21.30.1
19.319.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
4589
Unranked
13.40.5
15.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End