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Red0
283314.8
374314.1
484210.0
Blue15
35614.4
30294.2
33456.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2626010203040015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2833
#40
14.82.2
9.97.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
3345
#44
6.60.9
10.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3743
#53
14.12.2
8.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
3561
#55
4.40.9
7.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4842
#16
10.02.2
7.35.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
3029
#57
4.20.9
7.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End