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Red29
178520.6
324017.8
283314.8
Blue48
348115.6
46356.7
278919.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4423060801001202948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1785
#33
20.60.7
22.421.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2789
#43
19.21.1
9.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3240
#31
17.81.0
11.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
3481
#15
15.61.2
10.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2833
#40
14.81.0
7.76.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
4635
#47
6.71.8
7.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End