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Red37
367913.8
383413.0
35528.6
Blue3
358215.7
35614.4
6536.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2927010204050607080373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3679
#18
13.80.7
13.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3582
#39
15.72.1
9.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3834
#11
13.00.7
6.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
653
#27
6.71.2
8.27.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3552
#46
8.60.7
9.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
3561
#55
4.42.1
9.87.8
Auto
Teleop
End