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Red34
29854.8
159231.7
35528.6
Blue7
283314.8
46961.0
354520.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5231020406080100120347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.7
31.831.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
3545
#20
20.82.3
12.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3552
#46
8.61.2
10.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
2833
#40
14.82.3
15.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2985
#23
4.81.2
6.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
4696
#51
1.02.3
7.35.0
Auto
Teleop
End