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Red70
410616.8
324524.4
328915.6
Blue41
156617.9
321618.1
328818.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535702040801001207041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.3
23.423.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
18.90.3
19.419.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4106
#26
16.80.3
16.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3216
#16
18.10.3
18.618.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
15.60.3
14.514.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1566
#18
17.90.3
18.318.0
Auto
Teleop
End