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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32200406080422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3374
#13Sur
14.41.0
11.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
812
#32
10.71.0
8.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3243
#19
13.91.0
10.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
4348
#39
8.41.6
7.96.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4598
#37
8.61.0
8.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
3225
#40Sur
4.01.6
5.43.7
Auto
Teleop
End