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Qual 112013 Virginia Regional
Red30
301536.6
20688.4
54014.5
Blue12
38725.0
31684.7
126234.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593002040801001201403012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#5
36.61.6
34.4→32.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.6
1262
#17
34.11.8
13.7→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
540
#8
14.52.0
8.0→5.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.5
3872
#55
5.01.8
9.4→7.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2068
#37
8.42.0
12.2→10.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.7
3168
#61
4.71.8
10.7→8.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—