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Red68
307214.6
236329.5
141822.8
Blue13
240217.9
32588.6
33912.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50250204060801001206813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#24
29.51.4
21.222.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
2402
#14
17.91.3
9.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1418
#25
22.81.8
15.717.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
339
#44
12.51.3
11.810.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
14.61.8
9.611.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
3258
#48
8.61.4
8.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End