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Qual 182013 Virginia Regional
Red22
335910.7
393918.6
161025.9
Blue64
301536.6
210611.7
327412.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265702040801001202264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#33
25.90.5
17.6→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.8
3015
#5
36.60.7
32.8→33.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3939
#10
18.60.7
5.5→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.8
3274
#29
12.81.0
8.7→9.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3359
#51
10.70.7
7.4→6.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.0
2106
#30
11.71.0
10.7→11.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—