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Qual 242013 Virginia Regional
Red18
19524.6
141822.8
6197.4
Blue26
38412.2
33075.7
301536.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4357020801001826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#40
24.62.3
21.4→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.0
3015
#5
36.61.6
33.5→31.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1418
#25
22.82.3
17.5→15.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.6
384
#52
12.22.4
11.5→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
619
#36
7.41.7
6.6→4.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.7
3307
#38
5.72.4
9.8→7.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—