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Qual 302013 Virginia Regional
Red94
189522.8
190817.7
37098.8
Blue90
289015.5
126234.1
299821.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28320204060809490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#19
22.85.4
13.5→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.2
1262
#17
34.14.9
15.0→19.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1908
#6
17.75.4
9.7→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.1
2998
#32
21.84.9
9.7→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3709
#50
8.85.4
5.8→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.7
2890
#41
15.54.9
6.3→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—