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Red12
33075.7
61117.2
20288.9
Blue61
32588.6
299821.8
159813.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313501020405060701261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#12
17.21.6
11.29.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
2998
#32
21.82.2
14.616.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2028
#45
8.91.6
12.811.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1598
#13
13.81.5
13.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3307
#38
5.71.6
7.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
3258
#48
8.62.2
6.08.3
Auto
Teleop
End