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Red19
33075.7
236329.5
33616.7
Blue10
21072.1
52722.8
37098.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423402060801001201401601910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#24
29.51.5
22.721.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
527
#21
22.82.1
16.814.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3361
#23
6.71.8
9.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3709
#50
8.82.1
9.06.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3307
#38
5.71.8
8.46.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2107
#65
2.12.1
9.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End