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Qual 422013 Virginia Regional
Red54
42218.7
6197.4
161025.9
Blue83
219921.4
289015.5
52722.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364302060801005483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#33
25.90.8
16.8→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.1
527
#21
22.83.4
11.2→14.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
422
#16
18.71.4
15.8→17.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.8
2199
#26
21.43.4
19.4→22.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
619
#36
7.40.9
4.9→5.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.1
2890
#41
15.53.4
11.2→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—