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Qual 452013 Virginia Regional
Red31
29887.7
159813.8
301536.6
Blue77
40133.7
38708.7
362424.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545540506070803177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#5
36.61.2
31.5→30.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.9
401
#9
33.71.1
27.8→28.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1598
#13
13.81.2
15.1→14.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.2
3624
#22
24.01.8
17.8→19.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2988
#42
7.71.9
7.7→5.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
3870
#35
8.71.8
9.6→11.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—