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Red31
299821.8
109510.3
335910.7
Blue54
42869.3
141822.8
139810.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313201020405060703154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2998
#32
21.80.1
16.916.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1418
#25
22.81.9
17.619.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3359
#51
10.70.1
7.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1398
#31
10.21.1
7.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1095
#58
10.30.1
7.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
4286
#28
9.31.9
6.48.3
Auto
Teleop
End