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Red41
327412.8
38725.0
189522.8
Blue57
219921.4
159813.8
307214.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31540204060801004157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#19
22.80.5
16.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2199
#26
21.40.5
22.923.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3274
#29
12.80.5
14.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
14.60.5
13.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3872
#55
5.00.5
4.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
1598
#13
13.80.3
14.014.3
Auto
Teleop
End