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Qual 72013 Virginia Regional
Red4
42869.3
210611.7
38708.7
Blue13
182910.9
447215.0
6197.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33260406080100120140413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2106
#30
11.72.3
13.0→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.3
4472
#11
15.011.4
19.7→8.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4286
#28
9.32.3
9.5→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.7
1829
#15
10.91.2
11.8→10.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3870
#35
8.72.3
8.9→6.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
619
#36
7.41.0
5.9→4.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—