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Red15
182910.9
307214.6
15994.9
Blue5
31684.7
15226.7
33616.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361601020304050607080155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.61.5
14.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
3361
#23
6.71.2
6.25.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1829
#15
10.91.5
11.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1522
#59
6.71.2
6.25.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1599
#43
4.91.5
7.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3168
#61
4.71.2
6.55.4
Auto
Teleop
End