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Qual 772013 Virginia Regional
Red69
307214.6
240217.9
335910.7
Blue26
33075.7
31366.8
17813.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392301030506070806926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2402
#14
17.92.6
15.4→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.7
178
#54
13.20.0
13.2→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3072
#1
14.62.6
12.7→15.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.7
3136
#60
6.80.0
6.8→6.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3359
#51
10.72.6
8.1→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.9
3307
#38
5.70.0
5.7→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—