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Red76
141822.8
393918.6
289015.5
Blue27
35814.7
31684.7
159813.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47330204060801007627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#25
22.82.4
18.821.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
358
#39
14.70.6
15.314.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3939
#10
18.62.4
13.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1598
#13
13.80.4
14.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2890
#41
15.52.4
13.115.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
3168
#61
4.70.6
5.44.7
Auto
Teleop
End