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Red96
368122.4
247143.3
451317.3
Blue127
159531.8
366343.0
299027.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4985010015096127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#11
43.32.5
33.636.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
43.02.9
35.738.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3681
#25
22.42.5
13.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
1595
#10
31.82.4
22.725.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4513
#19
17.33.4
8.211.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
27.02.9
21.124.0
Auto
Teleop
End