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Red22
273326.9
41315.3
313120.7
Blue3
451317.3
40828.6
266011.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542004080100120140223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#16
26.91.5
22.120.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
4513
#19
17.31.8
11.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20.71.3
17.716.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
2660
#38
11.01.9
5.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4131
#39
5.32.2
8.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
4082
#26
8.61.8
8.36.4
Auto
Teleop
End