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Red71
247143.3
314529.3
47429.8
Blue107
273326.9
212230.5
213046.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698120406010012014016071107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#11
43.30.0
37.837.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
46.01.4
32.634.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
29.30.0
27.327.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2122
#28
30.51.4
26.227.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4742
#35
9.80.0
6.16.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.1
2733
#16
26.91.4
20.622.0
Auto
Teleop
End