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Red12
41315.3
380110.0
412519.8
Blue53
45208.3
169512.5
324318.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403602060801001201253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#31
19.81.4
18.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3243
#23
18.80.8
15.015.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3801
#27
10.02.3
14.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1695
#18
12.51.3
14.415.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4131
#39
5.32.3
6.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
4520
#24
8.31.3
7.58.8
Auto
Teleop
End