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Red89
299027.0
198351.1
412519.8
Blue73
313120.7
212230.5
21489.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions984501508973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.10.0
48.648.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.6
2122
#28
30.51.0
27.628.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
27.00.0
23.823.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
20.71.0
16.117.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4125
#31
19.80.0
17.217.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
2148
#34
9.21.6
9.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End