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Red34
38317.7
378925.8
21489.2
Blue48
369317.5
43715.2
252224.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494502060801001203448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3789
#29
25.80.7
26.325.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2522
#32
24.30.1
22.322.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2148
#34
9.21.1
12.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
3693
#13
17.50.2
14.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3831
#41
7.71.1
8.77.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
4371
#33
5.20.2
8.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End