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Red67
41315.3
368122.4
403025.2
Blue71
273326.9
47429.8
396822.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33500204060801001206771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4030
#15
25.21.6
17.018.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2733
#16
26.91.2
23.024.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3681
#25
22.41.6
15.917.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3968
#20
22.91.2
21.823.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4131
#39
5.32.5
2.44.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
4742
#35
9.81.8
2.64.4
Auto
Teleop
End