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Red108
406133.9
241113.0
47429.8
Blue55
38317.7
290739.3
169512.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362020408010012014010855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.93.5
25.729.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
2907
#12
39.30.1
37.637.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2411
#22
13.03.5
7.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1695
#18
12.50.2
12.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4742
#35
9.85.1
4.49.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3831
#41
7.70.2
7.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End