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Red43
29446.4
40828.6
247143.3
Blue0
38317.7
266011.0
368122.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53330204080100120140160430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#11
43.30.5
34.033.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
3681
#25
22.42.4
15.513.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4082
#26
8.60.6
9.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
2660
#38
11.03.0
9.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2944
#30
6.40.4
6.05.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3831
#41
7.73.0
10.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End