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Red106
198351.1
313120.7
324318.8
Blue62
378925.8
247143.3
273326.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78965015020010662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.11.2
48.850.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
2471
#11
43.31.6
43.642.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20.71.2
17.118.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
2733
#16
26.91.6
24.222.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3243
#23
18.81.2
15.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
3789
#29
25.81.6
25.624.0
Auto
Teleop
End