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Red70
412519.8
324318.8
41047.6
Blue107
299027.0
368122.4
214725.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32730206010012014016070107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#31
19.81.6
16.017.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
27.02.0
25.527.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3243
#23
18.81.6
17.218.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
2147
#14
25.42.0
23.625.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4104
#36
7.61.9
5.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
3681
#25
22.42.0
17.719.7
Auto
Teleop
End