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Red93
290739.3
396822.9
314529.3
Blue16
45208.3
380110.0
247143.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93640501509316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#12
39.30.2
38.138.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
2471
#11
43.32.6
43.741.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
29.30.2
27.427.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.3
3801
#27
10.03.2
13.210.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3968
#20
22.90.2
22.923.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
4520
#24
8.33.2
11.58.3
Auto
Teleop
End