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Red119
368122.4
406133.9
213046.0
Blue133
273326.9
189941.1
314529.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049350150200119133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.3
45.946.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
41.10.6
40.240.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33.90.3
33.934.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
29.30.6
28.429.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3681
#25
22.40.3
22.422.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
2733
#16
26.90.6
26.026.7
Auto
Teleop
End