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Red137
412519.8
198351.1
247143.3
Blue116
378925.8
212230.5
159531.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1158150100150200137116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.10.4
49.750.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
1595
#10
31.80.5
31.331.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2471
#11
43.30.4
41.942.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
2122
#28
30.50.5
30.130.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4125
#31
19.80.4
18.418.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
3789
#29
25.80.5
25.325.8
Auto
Teleop
End