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Red202
75312.2
198329.0
142535.9
Blue103
251714.1
204623.1
48824.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685850100150200202103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.92.3
32.534.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
488
#27
24.90.7
24.224.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1983
#32
29.02.5
25.327.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
23.10.7
22.323.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
753
#37
12.22.3
8.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2517
#12
14.10.7
13.414.1
Auto
Teleop
End