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Red16
371125.3
48824.9
406113.4
Blue61
241216.7
255729.9
293010.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5643020801001661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3711
#29
25.31.9
18.716.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
29.90.8
22.323.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
488
#27
24.91.9
19.217.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
2412
#28
16.71.3
10.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4061
#34
13.43.2
16.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2930
#25
10.51.3
12.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End