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Red6
29237.6
29446.0
241216.7
Blue41
204623.1
420527.3
12587.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3250020406080100120641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#28
16.72.4
12.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
4205
#13
27.30.5
11.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2923
#44
7.62.4
10.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
23.10.3
22.321.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2944
#39
6.02.4
11.18.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1258
#43
7.30.5
13.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End