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Red125
408916.9
94840.7
292218.6
Blue52
241216.7
358615.1
251714.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674005010015020012552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#3
40.75.2
40.746.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.1
2412
#28
16.70.7
11.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
18.65.2
8.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
3586
#41
15.10.7
17.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4089
#21
16.95.2
12.717.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
2517
#12
14.10.4
15.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End