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Red14
29237.6
420527.3
41732.6
Blue69
291017.9
255729.9
35879.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385202060801001201401469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4205
#13
27.32.2
22.520.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
29.91.0
23.524.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2923
#44
7.62.2
11.89.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
2910
#42
17.91.6
18.420.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4173
#40
2.62.2
5.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
3587
#20
9.61.6
7.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End