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Red8
46927.8
293010.5
297614.8
Blue6
47267.0
251714.1
12587.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3931020608086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#15
14.82.1
14.812.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2517
#12
14.11.3
16.114.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2930
#25
10.52.1
12.710.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1258
#43
7.31.9
9.27.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4692
#24
7.82.1
10.18.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
4726
#47
7.01.9
6.95.0
Auto
Teleop
End