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Red6
371211.1
449513.3
75312.2
Blue70
408916.9
46080.8
36035.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255704080100120140670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4495
#22
13.35.8
13.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.1
360
#2
35.41.2
28.129.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
753
#37
12.21.6
11.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
4089
#21
16.91.5
14.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3712
#30
11.12.0
8.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
4608
#45
0.810.3
0.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End