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Red111
378928.7
255729.9
396820.4
Blue24
408916.9
46523.4
198329.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6447020408010012011124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.92.5
24.126.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1983
#32
29.01.9
25.323.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3789
#17
28.73.6
19.222.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
4089
#21
16.91.9
17.315.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3968
#31
20.43.6
17.921.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.0
4652
#50
3.41.9
7.25.3
Auto
Teleop
End