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Red54
408916.9
412015.8
41053.1
Blue21
46523.4
263519.2
29237.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28330204060805421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#21
16.91.7
15.417.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
2635
#14
19.20.6
20.119.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4120
#18
15.81.7
14.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
2923
#44
7.60.8
6.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4105
#49
3.11.7
-0.61.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
4652
#50
3.40.8
5.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End